

AUDUSD is the ticker symbol for the Australian dollar and the US dollar exchange rate. Also known as the ‘Aussie’, the AUD-USD currency pair belongs to the ‘major’ group in forex trading. This means that it includes the USD, is traded in high volumes, has high liquidity and offers minimal spreads compared to minor and exotic currency pairs. As of October 2019, the Aussie is the fourth most traded currency pair in the forex market, with traders particularly encouraged by the volatility it offers during the ‘dull’ Asian trading sessions. In the AUD-USD forex rate, the AUD is the base currency, while the USD is the quote currency. This means that at any given time, the price of the AUD USD pair represents the amount of US dollars (USD) it would take to exchange for one Australian dollar (AUD).
The AUD-USD pair combines two currencies with significant roles in the global economy. The Australian dollar was introduced in 1966, replacing the non-decimated Australian pound that was pegged to the UK sterling pound. As of October 2019, Australia remains the 12th biggest economy in the world and a major exporter of precious metals and various other minerals, such as iron ore and coal. This is why the AUD is often referred to as a ‘commodity currency’ in the forex market, with its value positively correlated to global spot commodity prices. Australia is also a major trading partner of China, and actually one of the few nations that run a surplus with the Asian trade giant. About a third of Australia’s exports go to China, and the expansion or slowdown of the Chinese economy will have a direct impact on the AUD. Aside from China, the US is also an important trading partner for Australia. Following the ratification of the Australia-United States Free Trade Agreement (AUSFTA) in 2005, Australia has seen direct foreign investment from the US worth more than a $1 billion, with US exports to Australia growing almost two-fold since. It is also important to note that most commodities in the international markets are denominated in US dollars, effectively making the AUDUSD a price barometer for the entire commodity market.
A slowdown of the Australian economy before the turn of the millennium dragged the AUDUSD to print its all-time low of 0.4855 on March 1st, 2001. An upturn in fortunes set up the Australian economy on a growth trajectory, pushing the AUD-USD to a high of 1.0967 on April 1st, 2011. Commodity price crashes since 2011 have piled pressure on the AUD USD; from 2015-2019, the pair has traded between 0.8300 and 0.6500.
Australia is not a very large country in terms of GDP and population, yet the Australian dollar is the fifth most traded currency. The reason that traders are so interested in the AUD, and in the AUD/USD in particular comes down to geology, geography, and government policy. Geology is important because it’s given Australia a huge array of valuable commodities for trade. Speaking of trade, geography has placed the country in an ideal location to trade with Asian nations that have an insatiable demand for those commodities. And government policy gives a stable economy and interest rates.
When commodity prices are rising it tends to weigh on the economies of developed and developing nations as they end up spending more to acquire the commodities they need. By contrast Australia does very well since its economy is heavily based on the sale of its commodities. This means the Australian dollar is good to buy during times when the hard commodity prices are rising, or are already very high. It’s also good to keep an eye on Asian demand for Australia’s commodities since strong Asian demand is also a positive for the Australian economy and the Australian dollar.
There are two factors that can weigh most heavily on the AUD/USD. The first is, unsurprisingly, trade relations between the U.S. and Australia. While the Australian dollar is impacted by Australia’s trade with Asian nations, this pair is most heavily influenced by trade between Australia and the U.S. The other factor is the interest rate differential between Australia and the U.S., with the higher Australian rates making the Australian dollar more attractive when compared with the U.S. dollar. If that were to change and U.S. interest rates increased the U.S. dollar could become the more attractive in the pairing.
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